Celta Vigo II 2-2 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.87
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -27%
2.36/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.06
+47% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
2-2
AWAY Barakaldo
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II and Barakaldo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celta Vigo II at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 53% of the ball to Barakaldo's 47%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo?

Celta Vigo II 2-2 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 55%, draw 24%, Barakaldo 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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