Ponferradina 0-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.88
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
0.74/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.82
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
219 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 18.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 395
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
03.12.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-2 HT 1-2 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
14.02.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
10.10.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II edged past Ponferradina 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Ponferradina had 63% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 37%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ponferradina and 1.00 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II?

Ponferradina 0-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 41%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ponferradina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
25 Aug 2024
19:00 Athletic Bilbao II vs FC Andorra Analysis →
19:00 Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo Analysis →
19:00 Sestao River vs Unionistas Analysis →
20:00 Yeclano vs Alcorcon Analysis →
21:00 Sevilla II vs Real Murcia Analysis →
21:00 Fuenlabrada vs Antequera Analysis →