Ponferradina 2-0 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.16
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
207 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.08
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 394
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-2 HT 1-2 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
14.02.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
10.10.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
2-0
AWAY Real Sociedad II
0.74 xG 0.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
289 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina beat Real Sociedad II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ponferradina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ponferradina had 44% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 56%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ponferradina and 1.33 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II?

Ponferradina 2-0 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 40%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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