Celta Vigo II 4-0 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.72/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.89
+0% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
4-0
AWAY Sestao River
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II cruised past Sestao River 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 54% of the ball to Sestao River's 46%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River?

Celta Vigo II 4-0 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 52%, draw 28%, Sestao River 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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