Real Madrid II 5-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
456 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
07.06.2014 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
11.01.2014 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
05.05.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
30.11.2012 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
03.06.2007 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
5-1
AWAY Real Murcia
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II ran out comfortable winners over Real Murcia 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 47% of the ball to Real Murcia's 53%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Madrid II and 0.83 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Real Murcia?

Real Madrid II 5-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 43%, draw 28%, Real Murcia 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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