Alcoyano 0-3 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.3
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.73/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.69
-32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Malaga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-2 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
0-3
AWAY Malaga
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga swept aside Alcoyano 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Malaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcoyano had 47% of the ball to Malaga's 53%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Malaga?

Alcoyano 0-3 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 35%, draw 29%, Malaga 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
24 Feb 2024
18:00 Real Madrid II vs Real Murcia Analysis →
18:00 Sabadell vs Real Union Analysis →
18:00 San Fernando vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
18:00 Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River Analysis →
20:00 Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad II Analysis →
20:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Cornella Analysis →