Sestao River 1-1 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.59
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.82/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.33
+46% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Unionistas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 0-0 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
26.08.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River and Unionistas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sestao River and 0.00 for Unionistas.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Unionistas?

Sestao River 1-1 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 42%, draw 28%, Unionistas 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sestao River), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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