Genoa U20 1-0 Bologna U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.74/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.92
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
226 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bologna U20
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2025 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 İTAPŞ1
25.08.2024 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 3-0 HT 2-0 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 nicked a narrow win over Bologna U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Genoa U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bologna U20 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Genoa U20 and 2.00 for Bologna U20.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20?

Genoa U20 1-0 Bologna U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 39%, draw 28%, Bologna U20 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa U20), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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