Genoa U20 1-1 Bologna U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 27%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.66/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.68
-68% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bologna U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.08.2024 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 3-0 HT 2-0 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
1-1
AWAY Bologna U20
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 and Bologna U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Genoa U20 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 59% of the ball to Bologna U20's 41%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20?

Genoa U20 1-1 Bologna U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 55%, draw 22%, Bologna U20 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✗ Over 2.5
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