Milan U20 2-1 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.24
-100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecce U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 2-0 HT 2-0 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
2-1
AWAY Lecce U20
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 squeezed past Lecce U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Milan U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milan U20 had 58% of the ball to Lecce U20's 42%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Lecce U20?

Milan U20 2-1 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 34%, draw 28%, Lecce U20 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lecce U20), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecce U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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