Monza U20 2-1 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.65
+112% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +147%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cagliari U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 3-2 HT 3-1 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza U20
2-1
AWAY Cagliari U20
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza U20 squeezed past Cagliari U20 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Monza U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monza U20 had 43% of the ball to Cagliari U20's 57%, shots finished 4-12.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Monza U20 2-1 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 35%, draw 30%, Cagliari U20 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ BTTS Yes
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