Hoffenheim 0-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 3 Oct 2025

Hoffenheim
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Köln
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hoffenheim vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.29
Over Pick
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.56
2-3
43%
1.9
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
10%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.57
1/2
2%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
15%
4.94
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X
14%
5.69
2/1
3%
21.1
2/2
15%
5.26
2/X
5%
13.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Hoffenheim v Köln — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hoffenheim The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln The Market 31%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.61 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.95
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2

Hoffenheim vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Köln
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
363 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
16.09.2023 Köln Köln 1-3 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
22.04.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL1
30.10.2022 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
06.03.2022 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
15.10.2021 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 5-0 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1

Hoffenheim 0-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
0 - 1
AWAY Köln
1.12 xG 1.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
418 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 21
35 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hoffenheim vs Köln
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Köln edged past Hoffenheim 1-0 away from home.

We leaned Hoffenheim at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Hoffenheim's favour, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.12 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Hoffenheim against 1.00 for Köln.

Hoffenheim vs Köln Result & Final Score

Hoffenheim 0 - 1 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hoffenheim vs Köln Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 49%, draw 25%, Köln 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →