Amstetten 2-2 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2025

Amstetten
2-2 HT 1-0
FC Liefering
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Amstetten vs FC Liefering Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.06
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.68
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amstetten v FC Liefering — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.07/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.50
-3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
198 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.0 Crosses 13.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Amstetten vs FC Liefering Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 2.39
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
171 Passes 334
59% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-3 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
04.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-2 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
05.03.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-0 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
19.08.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
05.03.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
13.08.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten and FC Liefering couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amstetten had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amstetten and 1.67 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs FC Liefering?

Amstetten 2-2 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 39%, draw 24%, FC Liefering 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Amstetten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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