Pontypridd Town AFC 5-2 Treowen Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Oct 2025

Pontypridd Town AFC
5-2 HT 2-1
Treowen Stars
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Treowen Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Treowen Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.58/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.50
-25% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Treowen Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC swept aside Treowen Stars 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Treowen Stars?

Pontypridd Town AFC 5-2 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Treowen Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 57%, draw 22%, Treowen Stars 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
3 Oct 2025
21:45 Buckley Town vs Newtown Analysis →
21:45 Denbigh Town vs Y Rhyl 1879 Analysis →
21:45 Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford Analysis →
22:00 Airbus UK vs Holywell Analysis →