Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.40/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.49
-29% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ammanford
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.01.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
10.08.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-3 HT 1-2 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds and Ammanford couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Trethomas Bluebirds at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.50 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford?

Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 50%, draw 25%, Ammanford 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ BTTS Yes
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