Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
2.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.13
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ammanford
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.08.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-3 HT 1-2 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds and Ammanford couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trethomas Bluebirds at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford?

Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 56%, draw 19%, Ammanford 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
24 Jan 2025
22:30 Newport City vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
22:30 Taffs Well vs Cambrian & Clydach Analysis →
22:45 Llandudno FC vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
22:45 Flint Mountain vs Colwyn Bay Analysis →