Newport City 1-2 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Jan 2025

Newport City
1-2 HT 0-1
Llanelli Town
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Newport City vs Llanelli Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport City v Llanelli Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.00
+98% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newport City vs Llanelli Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Llanelli Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-3 HT 2-2 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town edged past Newport City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Llanelli Town?

Newport City 1-2 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Newport City 27%, draw 28%, Llanelli Town 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ BTTS No
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