Llanelli Town 2-3 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2024

Llanelli Town
2-3 HT 2-2
Newport City
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Llanelli Town vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Llanelli Town v Newport City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City nicked a narrow win over Llanelli Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Newport City?

Llanelli Town 2-3 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 48%, draw 20%, Newport City 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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