Afan Lido 0-3 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2024

Afan Lido
0-3 HT 0-2
Baglan Dragons
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.5
No
33%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
67%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.4pp
33%
BTTS No
38%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afan Lido v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.59/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
+40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-2 HT 0-2 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
21.10.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 0-1 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
21.07.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-3 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons ran out comfortable winners over Afan Lido 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Baglan Dragons made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Afan Lido and 1.00 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons?

Afan Lido 0-3 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 39%, draw 25%, Baglan Dragons 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Afan Lido), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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