Holywell 3-1 Llandudno FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.98
Over 2.5
71%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+14.5pp
29%
Under 2.5
30%
-1.3pp
71%
Over 2.5
70%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Llandudno FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.75/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.08
+3% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Llandudno FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.03.2024 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.08.2023 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 2-0 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC GALFAW
07.04.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-2 HT 0-1 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC GALFAW
02.08.2022 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Llandudno FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell saw off Llandudno FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Holywell and 1.50 for Llandudno FC.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Llandudno FC?

Holywell 3-1 Llandudno FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Llandudno FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Holywell 55%, draw 16%, Llandudno FC 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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