Denbigh Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.31
No
33%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.1pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 36%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.32/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.09
+75% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.08.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
16.12.2023 Mold Alexandra 2-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
03.11.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town and Mold Alexandra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Denbigh Town and 2.00 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Denbigh Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 38%, draw 25%, Mold Alexandra 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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