Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Aug 2024

Mold Alexandra
2-1 HT 0-0
Denbigh Town
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
34%
3.8
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.74
Over 2.5
45%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.38
No
50%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
33%
+22.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
67%
-22.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mold Alexandra v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.81
-3% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Mold Alexandra 2-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
03.11.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra squeezed past Denbigh Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mold Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.50 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town?

Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 42%, draw 34%, Denbigh Town 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mold Alexandra) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Under 2.5
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