Caersws 2-1 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
36%
3.8
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.74
Over 2.5
47%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.7pp
36%
Draw
23%
+13.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
33%
+20.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
67%
-20.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.6pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.34/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.81
-35% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ruthin Town
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 3
09.03.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
26.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 5-1 HT 3-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws nicked a narrow win over Ruthin Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 24% — and on the day Caersws made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caersws had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Caersws and 1.00 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Ruthin Town?

Caersws 2-1 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caersws 40%, draw 36%, Ruthin Town 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caersws), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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