Ruthin Town 1-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Mar 2024

Ruthin Town
1-2 HT 0-2
Caersws
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Ruthin Town vs Caersws Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ruthin Town v Caersws — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.50/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.49
+24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ruthin Town vs Caersws Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caersws
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 5-1 HT 3-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws nicked a narrow win over Ruthin Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ruthin Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Caersws?

Ruthin Town 1-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 49%, draw 23%, Caersws 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruthin Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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