Abertillery Bluebirds 0-4 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.7pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.70
-39% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
5 Corners 10
28.08.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 4-2 HT 0-0 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United cruised past Abertillery Bluebirds 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goytre United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Goytre United?

Abertillery Bluebirds 0-4 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 35%, draw 20%, Goytre United 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goytre United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goytre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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