Mold Alexandra 1-3 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-9.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 61%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.00/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.11/0.42
-100% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Holywell
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-0 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
08.02.2023 Mold Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
23.07.2022 Mold Alexandra 2-3 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALLK
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell beat Mold Alexandra 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mold Alexandra and 2.67 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Holywell?

Mold Alexandra 1-3 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 31%, draw 22%, Holywell 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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