Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Mar 2024

Cwmbran Celtic
1-1 HT 0-1
Baglan Dragons
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cwmbran Celtic v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.65/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.99
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 3-3 HT 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic and Baglan Dragons couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cwmbran Celtic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons?

Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 42%, draw 27%, Baglan Dragons 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
9 Mar 2024
17:00 Porthmadog vs Buckley Town Analysis →
17:00 Abertillery Bluebirds vs Goytre United Analysis →
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Holywell Analysis →
17:30 Ruthin Town vs Caersws Analysis →