Porthmadog 1-3 Buckley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Mar 2024

Porthmadog
1-3 HT 1-0
Buckley Town
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Porthmadog vs Buckley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.1pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porthmadog v Buckley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
-36% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Porthmadog vs Buckley Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porthmadog
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Buckley Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 0-2 HT 0-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALWK
28.08.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
07.02.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 1-1 HT 0-1 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Porthmadog vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town saw off Porthmadog 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Buckley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buckley Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Porthmadog and 1.33 for Buckley Town.

What was the final score of Porthmadog vs Buckley Town?

Porthmadog 1-3 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porthmadog vs Buckley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porthmadog win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Porthmadog 38%, draw 25%, Buckley Town 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porthmadog) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porthmadog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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