Llantwit Major 2-2 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.25/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.95
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
282 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
3 Corners 7
08.03.2024 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
13.10.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Llantwit Major GALWK
28.08.2023 Llantwit Major 2-5 HT 1-3 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
17.02.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
19.11.2022 Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
22.01.2022 Llantwit Major 3-0 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major and Llanelli Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Llantwit Major and 2.17 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Llanelli Town?

Llantwit Major 2-2 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 28%, draw 21%, Llanelli Town 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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