Llanelli Town 2-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
4.0
Over 2.5
75%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
9%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
76%
-7.4pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
25%
Under 2.5
22%
+3.5pp
75%
Over 2.5
78%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.66/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.99
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +31%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Llantwit Major
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
7 Corners 3
13.10.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Llantwit Major GALWK
28.08.2023 Llantwit Major 2-5 HT 1-3 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
17.02.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
19.11.2022 Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
22.01.2022 Llantwit Major 3-0 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
11.12.2020 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 Llantwit Major GALLK
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town edged past Llantwit Major 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llanelli Town and 1.50 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Llantwit Major?

Llanelli Town 2-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 68%, draw 19%, Llantwit Major 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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