Trefelin 1-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Mar 2024

Trefelin
1-1 HT 0-1
Carmarthen Town
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+16.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-16.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Carmarthen Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.47/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.06
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
9 Corners 1
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 6-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
18.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-3 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
26.08.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
04.12.2021 Trefelin Trefelin 0-2 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
19.11.2021 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin and Carmarthen Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Trefelin and 2.80 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town?

Trefelin 1-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 27%, draw 30%, Carmarthen Town 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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