Taffs Well 0-2 Pontardawe Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.7pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.92/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.24
-7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
28.08.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
29.04.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
26.08.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 4-1 HT 2-1 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Pontardawe Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC got the better of Taffs Well 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Taffs Well at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Taffs Well had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Taffs Well and 2.33 for Pontardawe Town FC.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Taffs Well 0-2 Pontardawe Town FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 46%, draw 20%, Pontardawe Town FC 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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