Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afan Lido v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals
Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Afan Lido
GALFAW
1-3
Afan Lido
GALLK
Baglan Dragons beat Afan Lido 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Afan Lido at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Afan Lido and 0.50 for Baglan Dragons.
What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons?
Afan Lido 0-2 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons?
Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 52%, draw 20%, Baglan Dragons 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.