Abergavenny Town 1-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Jan 2024

Abergavenny Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Goytre United
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Abergavenny Town vs Goytre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
21%
+12.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abergavenny Town v Goytre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abergavenny Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.22/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.00
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Abergavenny Town vs Goytre United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abergavenny Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Goytre United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 0-2 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALFAW
11.03.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 2-1 HT 1-1 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abergavenny Town vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abergavenny Town and Goytre United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Goytre United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Goytre United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Abergavenny Town and 2.50 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Abergavenny Town vs Goytre United?

Abergavenny Town 1-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abergavenny Town vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Abergavenny Town 34%, draw 20%, Goytre United 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Goytre United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goytre United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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