Gresford Athletic 0-5 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 70%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.61/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/0.57
-47% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +109%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Holywell
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2023 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
24.09.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.03.2022 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 4-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
01.10.2021 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell ran out comfortable winners over Gresford Athletic 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.00 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Holywell?

Gresford Athletic 0-5 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 23%, draw 22%, Holywell 55%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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