Buckley Town 2-2 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.18
Over 2.5
65%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.37/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.52
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buckley Town
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ruthin Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
21.10.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
24.03.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 4-2 HT 2-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
13.08.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
19.03.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town and Ruthin Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ruthin Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Buckley Town and 2.25 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town?

Buckley Town 2-2 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 30%, draw 21%, Ruthin Town 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruthin Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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