Briton Ferry 4-1 Pontardawe Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
28%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-16.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
11%
+16.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.97/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.68
+15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.10.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 2-4 HT 2-2 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
25.02.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
02.08.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 8-0 HT 4-0 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Pontardawe Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry ran out comfortable winners over Pontardawe Town FC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Briton Ferry had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Briton Ferry and 0.67 for Pontardawe Town FC.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Briton Ferry 4-1 Pontardawe Town FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 56%, draw 16%, Pontardawe Town FC 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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