Caerau (Ely) 4-2 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Jan 2024

Caerau (Ely)
4-2 HT 1-1
Cwmbran Celtic
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.1pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Cwmbran Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 34%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/2.56
+101% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-2 HT 1-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) beat Cwmbran Celtic 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Caerau (Ely) 4-2 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 48%, draw 18%, Cwmbran Celtic 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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