Southampton U21 4-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 3 Oct 2025

Southampton U21
4-1 HT 2-0
Derby County U21
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.51
No
46%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
44%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Southampton U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Southampton U21 The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 The Market 19%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
2.33 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.46
1.95 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.57
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.3 Crosses 9.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Derby County U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
379 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.04.2025 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2

Southampton U21 4-1 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
4-1
AWAY Derby County U21
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
407 Passes 396
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Southampton U21 dismantled Derby County U21 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southampton U21 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Southampton U21 had 50% of the ball to Derby County U21's 50%, shots finished 10-8.

Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 Result & Final Score

Southampton U21 4-1 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 63%, draw 20%, Derby County U21 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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