Derby County U21 0-0 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 11 Apr 2025

Derby County U21
0-0 HT 0-0
Southampton U21
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
62%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.5pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.7pp
62%
Away Win
56%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.8pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County U21 v Southampton U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.69/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
+34% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +34%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses 22.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Derby County U21 0-0 Southampton U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
0-0
AWAY Southampton U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
289 Passes 379
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 and Southampton U21 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Southampton U21 carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 44% of the ball to Southampton U21's 56%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?

Derby County U21 0-0 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 21%, draw 18%, Southampton U21 62%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Southampton U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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