Aston Villa U21 2-2 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.0pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.37
-49% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
2-2
AWAY Sunderland U21
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
303 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 and Sunderland U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 53% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 47%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Aston Villa U21 2-2 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 33%, draw 28%, Sunderland U21 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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