Hibernians FC 0-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
48%
Away Win
48%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 52%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.53/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.72
+150% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
30.11.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
22.09.2024 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
10.02.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
26.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
12.12.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
0-1
AWAY Floriana
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana nicked a narrow win over Hibernians FC 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 46% of the ball to Floriana's 54%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.33 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Floriana?

Hibernians FC 0-1 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 25%, draw 27%, Floriana 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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