Floriana 1-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.58/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.52
+18% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
26.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
12.12.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
11.05.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 2-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
12.03.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-4 HT 0-3 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
05.12.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
1-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana and Hibernians FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Floriana had 46% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 54%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Hibernians FC?

Floriana 1-1 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Floriana 46%, draw 30%, Hibernians FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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