Zabbar St. Patrick 3-3 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.3pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
3-3
AWAY Naxxar Lions
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick and Naxxar Lions shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Naxxar Lions at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 45% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?

Zabbar St. Patrick 3-3 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 30%, draw 26%, Naxxar Lions 43%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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