Sakandary 2-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
6.79
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
36%
Draw
34%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.5pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakandary EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.99/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.13
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.6 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakandary
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 213
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
28.10.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
12.07.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
27.01.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
26.08.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
26.04.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakandary
2-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.69 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
218 Passes 200
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakandary vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakandary edged past Al Mokawloon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 30% — and on the day Sakandary made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakandary had 49% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 51%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.69 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakandary had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sakandary and 0.67 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Sakandary vs Al Mokawloon?

Sakandary 2-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakandary vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sakandary 34%, draw 36%, Al Mokawloon 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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