Smouha 2-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.36
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.97
+43% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.3 Crosses 12.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ismaily
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 265
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
21.01.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
21.08.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSRK
16.08.2024 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
03.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
30.03.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 1-3 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
2-0
AWAY Ismaily
1.47 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
314 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha beat Ismaily 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Smouha had 52% of the ball to Ismaily's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ismaily led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 1.50 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Ismaily?

Smouha 2-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Smouha 45%, draw 32%, Ismaily 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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