Ismaily vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ismaily v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
Ismaily vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Ismaily
MSR
0-1
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
Ismaily 1-0 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
Ismaily squeezed past Smouha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Smouha at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ismaily had 41% of the ball to Smouha's 59%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.20 — on chances, Smouha could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ismaily had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ismaily and 0.83 for Smouha.
What was the final score of Ismaily vs Smouha?
Ismaily 1-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 27%, draw 31%, Smouha 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Smouha) went the other way.