El Gounah 1-2 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
7.15
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.5pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.84/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.95
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.4 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
202 Passes 267
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
10.01.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 3-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MISLK
14.12.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-3 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.08.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.03.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
08.08.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-2
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.68 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
213 Passes 251
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over El Gounah 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 37%) promised a tight game; National Bank of Egypt found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Gounah had 47% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 53%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.68 to 1.27 — on chances, El Gounah could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Gounah and 1.33 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt?

El Gounah 1-2 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 28%, draw 34%, National Bank of Egypt 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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