Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.75
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
1.41/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
-25% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.1 Crosses 20.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.29 xG 0.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
330 Passes 194
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR2P
14.07.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
28.05.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 3-2 HT 2-2 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSRK
05.02.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-2 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-1
AWAY Haras El Hodood
0.62 xG 0.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
270 Passes 196
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood squeezed past Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Haras El Hodood made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 56% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.62 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 2.00 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 39%, draw 34%, Haras El Hodood 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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