El Gounah 1-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 36% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
0.94/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.95
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.5 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
251 Passes 261
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 3-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MISLK
14.12.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-3 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.08.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.03.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
08.08.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
06.02.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.09 xG 1.03
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
131 Passes 349
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah and National Bank of Egypt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was National Bank of Egypt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, El Gounah had 34% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 66%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.09 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Gounah and 1.33 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt?

El Gounah 1-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 32%, draw 26%, National Bank of Egypt 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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